Peer-Reviewed Publications
Misinformation among Migrants: Evidence from Mexico and Colombia (with Antonella Bandiera). Journal of Experimental Political Science. Forthcoming.
Protecting Irregular Migrants: Evidence from Colombia (with Alfredo Trejo III, Margaret Peters, and Yang-Yang Zhou). Migration Studies. Forthcoming.
Government Ideology and Support for Redistribution among the Wealthy (with Fabio Resmini). Political Science Research and Methods (2025).
[Paper] [Replication]
When Pandemic Threat Does Not Stoke Xenophobia: Evidence from a Panel Survey around COVID-19 (with Yang-Yang Zhou and Margaret Peters). Politics, Groups, and Identities, 13(3), 648–667 (2024).
[Paper] [Replication]
A State-led Model of Financial Inclusion Through Mobile Services (with Judith Mariscal). Information Technologies & International Development, 16: 20-31, (2020).
[Paper]
The Evolution of Inequality in Latin America in the Twenty-first Century: Patterns, Drivers and Hypotheses (with Francesco Bogliacino). PSL Quarterly Review, 71(286): 279-308 (2018).
[Paper]
Under Review
How Do Business Elites Respond to Social Protests? (draft available upon request)
- 2024 Best Graduate Student Paper Award at REPAL
Abstract
Conventional wisdom holds that violent protesters do not win concessions. Yet, existing research has predominantly examined responses from politicians or public opinion. I focus, instead, on economic elites, who are particularly vulnerable to violent unrest when they hold fixed capital and the state has low capacity to address social demands. I argue that in these scenarios, economically-driven violent unrest creates uncertainty and costs to business elites, who therefore decide to coordinate through business associations and concede to rioters by providing jobs, as they cannot rely on the state and fear further destruction. I test this argument in Colombia. Using an event study research design, I find that violent protests increase labor demand in affected municipalities. Interviews with business elites provide evidence of coordinated responses. These findings suggest that economic elites, under specific constraints, respond to extra-electoral redistributive demands by using private employment as a redistributive tool.
The Price of Dignity: Measuring Migrants’ Metaperceptions using Behavioral Games (with Yang-Yang Zhou, Margaret Peters, and Cybele Kappos)
Abstract
How do migrants perceive host citizens’ stereotypes about them, and can these metaperceptions change behaviors? We theorize that migrants are cognizant of hosts' stereotypes against them, which drive them to make choices that seem irrational based on economic cost-benefit calculations but are rational to restore status and dignity. To test our argument, we conducted behavioral lab games in Colombia, with 600 citizens and Venezuelan migrants. By randomizing partners and varying the information on partners' nationalities, we identify bias for and against outgroups. We find across games that Venezuelans give more to Colombians when both players' nationalities are known, compared to the baseline of no information and when playing with other Venezuelans. These findings suggest that migrants may act against their own financial self-interest to counteract prevalent stereotypes, such as being freeloaders on state welfare. We also find qualitative evidence that migrants desire to regain dignity by countering hosts' negative stereotypes.
Pre-Analysis Plan Working Paper
When Does the Public Care About Immigration? The Political Salience of Venezuelan Immigration in Colombia (with Natália Bueno and Daniel Masterson)
Abstract
What triggers public concern about immigration? Although substantial research has investigated public attitudes toward immigration, less work has been done on its political salience. This study utilizes survey experiments with Colombians to investigate the drivers of both valence and salience concerning Venezuelan immigration. Employing experimental vignettes, the study explores the effects of different styles of rhetorical framing, specifically contrasting moderate anti-immigration framing with strong anti-immigration rhetoric, on attitudes about the salience and valence of immigration. First, we find that rhetoric that leads to more negative (positive) views on immigration also heightens (lessens) its perceived importance, suggesting a previously unacknowledged challenge for mobilizing political support for immigration. Second, strong anti-immigration messaging, akin to the style of rhetoric used by many contemporary populists, is highly effective in influencing opinions. Alarmingly, this rhetoric has broad effectiveness, even among people who did not hold negative views of immigration at baseline.
Pre-Analysis Plan Working Paper
In Progress
Barriers to Migrants’ Financial Inclusion: A Field Experiment on Bank Officers’ Immigration Attitudes in Colombia
Pre-Analysis Plan